Stupid, or Simply Misinformed?

Three weeks have passed since the election, and many Americans, regardless of party affiliation, have been trying to understand how 60 million Americans, give or take a few hundred thousand, could have voted for George W Bush.

Are Bush supporters stupid? To suggest so is simplistic, insulting and ultimately counterproductive.

Are Bush supporters simply misinformed? This seems to be closer to the truth.
Last month, PIPA released a new study that found majorities of Bush supporters, sometimes huge majorities, not only had major misunderstandings of the basic facts about Iraq, but they were misled on all sorts of other Bush positions. 74 percent of Bush supporters believed that Bush favors inclusion of labor and environmental standards in trade agreements.

60 percent of Bush supporters said the US should not have initiated a war with Iraq unless evidence established that Iraq had WMDs and was supporting the Al Qaeda terrrorists. This should have been a bloc of Kerry voters. But they were unaware the evidence did not exist.

These are faith-based voters -- not fact-based voters.
Blame the Bush administration for their policies of propaganda and deception. Blame the media for not asking tough questions. Blame voters for not paying closer attention to and being critical readers of the news of the day .
Backdoor Draft Continues
"I consider myself a civilian," said Rick Howell, a major from Tuscaloosa, Ala., who said he thought he had left the Army behind in 1997 after more than a decade flying helicopters. "I've done my time. I've got a brand new baby and a wife, and I haven't touched the controls of an aircraft in seven years. I'm 47 years old. How could they be calling me? How could they even want me?"
November is on track to be the bloodiest month so far since we invaded Iraq. With 74 US soldiers killed in the last two weeks, the number of dead Americans is now 1,341.

This count doesn't include deaths which are considered non-combat casualties -- "In the first Gulf War, battle deaths were only 148, non-battle deaths in the war theater reached 235 and non-battle non-theater deaths totalled 914." The number of Iraqi dead is reported to be more than 100,000.
How many ballots have yet to be counted in Ohio?

A) 155,000 provisional ballots.

B) 93,000 spoiled ballots.

C) All of them. Thanks to a huge effort led by the presidential candidates for the Green and Libertarian parties, David Cobb and Michael Badnarik respectively, there will be a full recount in Ohio.

D) All of the above.

BONUS: True or False?

Kerry's failure to beat Bush may be even worse than Democrats imagine.

Correct answers: D, True.
A TestPattern.org Book Tip

"The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations"

from a review in the Christian Science Monitor
"Under the right circumstances," James Surowiecki argues, "groups are remarkably intelligent, and are often smarter than the smartest people in them."

Crowds have a pretty bad rep. When evil or foolish influences rise to the fore, they ignite mob rule, lynching, financial panic, and styling trends like the mustache or jock-hawk.

As counterintuitive as it sounds, however, the mathematics work so long as Surowiecki's three key criteria - independence, diversity, and decentralization - are satisfied. "If you ask a large enough group," he says, "to make a prediction or estimate a probability," the errors they make cancel each other out. "Subtract the error, and you're left with the information."

In one section, Surowiecki describes how the US blundered into the Bay of Pigs because the decisionmaking group - the president and his advisers - all shared similar conceptions and assumptions. In short, the group lacked diversity and, as a result, demonstrated a colossal example of the failings of groupthink.
This would explain the dearth of wisdom coming out of the Bush White House. Not only is the administration ripe with "evil and foolish influences," it fails to achieve the three criteria necessary for wisdom: independence, diversity and decentralization.
Why are the Green and Libertarian parties raising funds to file a formal demand for a recount of the presidential ballots cast in Ohio?

Because the Democrats won't stand up for what they claim to believe in, and that is why they lost so many races last week and will continue to lose in the future.
Stolen Election?

Watch MSNBC's "Countdown with Keith Olbermann."

This story aired on Monday, November 8. You can read the transcript here.

Mr Olbermann is keeping tabs on this story as it develops and posting to his blog.

And the winner is...

Mark Fiore pulls back the curtain to reveal the fabulous prizes that George W Bush won in this year's election.

"Good luck, Mr. President. You're going to need it."
bin Laden's (Unabridged) Message to America:
"the real loser is ... you"


CNN published a transcript of Osama bin-Laden's videotaped message to the American people last week, which was universally carried by the mainstream media.

Al Jazeera ran what they claimed was a "full English transcript of Usama bin Ladin's speech ... which appeared as subtitles at the foot of the screen, has been left unedited."

If you compare and contrast the two transcripts, you'll notice that the translations are similar, yet stylistically different, with some notable differences.

In the CNN version, the fourth paragraph from the end goes like this:
Then, what happened was that he [George H W Bush] was impressed by the monarchies and the military regimes, and he was jealous of them staying in power for tens of years, embezzling the public money without any accountability. And he moved the tyranny and suppression of freedom to his own country, and they called it the Patriot Act, under the disguise of fighting terrorism. And Bush, the father, found it good to install his children as governors and leaders.
What follows is the text that should follow, and in fact does in the Al Jazeera version, but which is completely missing from the CNN transcript:
So he took dictatorship and suppression of freedoms to his son and they named it the Patriot Act, under the pretence of fighting terrorism. In addition, Bush sanctioned the installing of sons as state governors, and didn't forget to import expertise in election fraud from the region's presidents to Florida to be made use of in moments of difficulty.

All that we have mentioned has made it easy for us to provoke and bait this administration. All that we have to do is to send two mujahidin to the furthest point east to raise a piece of cloth on which is written al-Qaida, in order to make the generals race there to cause America to suffer human, economic, and political losses without their achieving for it anything of note other than some benefits for their private companies.

This is in addition to our having experience in using guerrilla warfare and the war of attrition to fight tyrannical superpowers, as we, alongside the mujahidin, bled Russia for 10 years, until it went bankrupt and was forced to withdraw in defeat.

All Praise is due to Allah.

So we are continuing this policy in bleeding America to the point of bankruptcy. Allah willing, and nothing is too great for Allah.

That being said, those who say that al-Qaida has won against the administration in the White House or that the administration has lost in this war have not been precise, because when one scrutinises the results, one cannot say that al-Qaida is the sole factor in achieving those spectacular gains.

Rather, the policy of the White House that demands the opening of war fronts to keep busy their various corporations - whether they be working in the field of arms or oil or reconstruction - has helped al-Qaida to achieve these enormous results.

And so it has appeared to some analysts and diplomats that the White House and us are playing as one team towards the economic goals of the United States, even if the intentions differ.

And it was to these sorts of notions and their like that the British diplomat and others were referring in their lectures at the Royal Institute of International Affairs. [When they pointed out that] for example, al-Qaida spent $500,000 on the event, while America, in the incident and its aftermath, lost - according to the lowest estimate - more than $500 billion.

Meaning that every dollar of al-Qaida defeated a million dollars by the permission of Allah, besides the loss of a huge number of jobs.

As for the size of the economic deficit, it has reached record astronomical numbers estimated to total more than a trillion dollars.

And even more dangerous and bitter for America is that the mujahidin recently forced Bush to resort to emergency funds to continue the fight in Afghanistan and Iraq, which is evidence of the success of the bleed-until-bankruptcy plan - with Allah's permission.

It is true that this shows that al-Qaida has gained, but on the other hand, it shows that the Bush administration has also gained, something of which anyone who looks at the size of the contracts acquired by the shady Bush administration-linked mega-corporations, like Halliburton and its kind, will be convinced. And it all shows that the real loser is ... you.

It is the American people and their economy.
Why did CNN feel it was necessary to omit this portion of bin-Laden's message? There was a time not long ago when the answer would have simply been, "We ran out of space." But there is plenty of space on the CNN website to publish the full transcript. So why was it edited?

Osama bin Laden's point that the real loser in all of this is the American people and the US economy raises another question: how much has the invasion and occupation of Iraq cost the United States? For starters:
  • Over 1,000 US servicemen and women killed.
  • Over 7,000 US servicemen and women wounded.
  • At least 150 contractors and 40 journalists killed.
  • A shrinking "coalition," from 30 countries to 22, with only a few providing troops.
  • Increased recruitment for al-Qaeda.
  • An expanding Iraqi resistance movement.
  • Lower US credibility with allies and trading partners.
  • Lower troop morale.
  • Loss of first responders.
  • $150 billion billed so far, with billions more in the coming months, which promises to increase trade deficits and inflation.
  • Skyrocketing oil prices, which reached their highest price in 20 years.
  • Increased demand for food stamps by military families.
And then there is the cost to Iraq ... many thousands more killed, escalating rates of murder, rape and kidnapping, rising unemployment .... Read more here.
Bob Herbert tells 55 million Americans:
"O.K., Folks: Back to Work"
Much has been made of the support Mr. Bush has gotten from religious people. He's going to need all of their prayers that some miracle happens to suspend the laws of simple arithmetic and keep his fiscal house of cards from collapsing.

Meanwhile, the situation in Iraq, overshadowed by the election, is as grim as ever. Insurgents blew up a critical oil pipeline on Tuesday, the latest severe blow to efforts to get the Iraq economy on track. Three British soldiers were killed in an attack yesterday. The assassinations, kidnappings and car bombings continued. The humanitarian aid group Doctors Without Borders announced that it would cease operations in Iraq because of the unrelenting danger. And Hungary became the latest U.S. coalition partner to announce that it would withdraw its troops from Iraq.

In other words, nothing has changed. Mr. Bush's victory on Tuesday was not based on his demonstrated competence in office or on a litany of perceived successes. For all the talk about values that we're hearing, the president ran a campaign that appealed above all to voters' fears and prejudices. He didn't say he'd made life better for the average American over the past four years. He didn't say he had transformed the schools, or made college more affordable, or brought jobs to the unemployed or health care to the sick and vulnerable.

He said, essentially, be very afraid. Be frightened of terrorism, and of those dangerous gay marriages, and of those in this pluralistic society who may have thoughts and beliefs and values that differ from your own.

As usual, he turned reality upside down. A quintessential American value is tolerance for ideas other than one's own. Tuesday's election was a dismaying sprint toward intolerance, sparked by a smiling president who is a master at appealing to the baser aspects of our natures.

Which brings me to the Democrats - the ordinary voters, not the politicians - and where they go from here. I have been struck by the extraordinary demoralization, even dark despair, among a lot of voters who desperately wanted John Kerry to defeat Mr. Bush. "We did all we could," one woman told me, "and we still lost."

Here's my advice: You had a couple of days to indulge your depression - now, get over it. The election's been lost but there's still a country to save, and with the current leadership that won't be easy. Crucial matters that have been taken for granted too long - like the Supreme Court and Social Security - are at risk. Caving in to depression and a sense of helplessness should not be an option when the country is speeding toward an abyss.

Roll up your sleeves and do what you can. Talk to your neighbors. Call or write your elected officials. Volunteer to help in political campaigns. Circulate petitions. Attend meetings. Protest. Run for office. Support good candidates who are running for office. Register people to vote. Reach out to the young and the apathetic. Raise money. Stay informed. And vote, vote, vote - every chance you get.

Democracy is a breeze during good times. It's when the storms are raging that citizenship is put to the test. And there's a hell of a wind blowing right now.
Something is Foul in Florida

It's been said that the Democrats wouldn't win Florida as long as Jeb Bush was the Governor. Based on the results from last Tuesday, either party affiliation is no longer a reliable indicator of voter preference in Florida's smaller counties -- Democrats can't be counted on to vote for the Democratic presidential candidate -- or something is foul in Florida.
The State of Florida, for example, publishes a county-by-county record of votes cast and people registered to vote by party affiliation. Net denizen Kathy Dopp compiled the official state information into a table, available at http:/ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm, and noticed something startling.

While the heavily scrutinized touch-screen voting machines seemed to produce results in which the registered Democrat/Republican ratios matched the Kerry/Bush vote, and so did the optically-scanned paper ballots in the larger counties, in Florida's smaller counties the results from the optically scanned paper ballots - fed into a central tabulator PC and thus vulnerable to hacking - seem to have been reversed.

In Baker County, for example, with 12,887 registered voters, 69.3% of them Democrats and 24.3% of them Republicans, the vote was only 2,180 for Kerry and 7,738 for Bush, the opposite of what is seen everywhere else in the country where registered Democrats largely voted for Kerry.

In Dixie County, with 4,988 registered voters, 77.5% of them Democrats and a mere 15% registered as Republicans, only 1,959 people voted for Kerry, but 4,433 voted for Bush.

The pattern repeats over and over again - but only in the smaller counties where, it was probably assumed, the small voter numbers wouldn't be much noticed. Franklin County, 77.3% registered Democrats, went 58.5% for Bush. Holmes County, 72.7% registered Democrats, went 77.25% for Bush.

Yet in the larger counties, where such anomalies would be more obvious to the news media, high percentages of registered Democrats equaled high percentages of votes for Kerry.

More visual analysis of the results can be seen at http://ustogether.org/election04/FloridaDataStats.htm, and www.rubberbug.com/temp/Florida2004chart.htm.

And, although elections officials didn't notice these anomalies, in aggregate they were enough to swing Florida from Kerry to Bush. If you simply go through the analysis of these counties and reverse the "anomalous" numbers in those counties that appear to have been hacked, suddenly the Florida election results resemble the Florida exit poll results: Kerry won, and won big.

Dick Morris, the infamous political consultant to the first Clinton campaign who became a Republican consultant and Fox News regular, wrote an article for The Hill, the publication read by every political junkie in Washington, DC, in which he made a couple of brilliant points.

"Exit Polls are almost never wrong," Morris wrote. "They eliminate the two major potential fallacies in survey research by correctly separating actual voters from those who pretend they will cast ballots but never do and by substituting actual observation for guesswork in judging the relative turnout of different parts of the state."
GUN (by Soundgarden )

"I got an idea of something we can do with a gun
Sink, load, and fire 'til the empire
Reaps what they’ve sown
Shoot shoot shoot 'til their minds are open
Shoot shoot shoot 'til their eyes are closed
Push push push 'til we get some motion
Push push push 'til the bombs explode

I got an idea we can do it
All on our own
Nothing to worry
Regret must weigh a ton
Kick kick kick till the laws are broken
Kick kick kick till the boots are worn
Hit hit hit 'til the truth is spoken
Hit hit hit 'til the truth is born

I got an idea of something
We can do with a gun"
"this nation under God shall have a new birth of freedom, and that Government of the people, by the people, for the people shall not perish from the Earth" - Abraham Lincoln, Gettysburg Address



Thank God for the (Fiscally Conservative) Republicans!
Part 9 in a Series


This comes from an interview with Peter G. Peterson, who served as Nixon's Secretary of Commerce.
He [George W. Bush]'s a charming person. There were about a dozen of us, largely fat cats from Wall Street, and I said, "Well, sir, if you're elected president, there's a moral issue and a philosophical issue." And he said, "What's this moral point?" And I told him about the German theologian, Bonhoeffer, who said that the ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. And I said, "Sir, as I look at these fat cats around this table, I wonder about the morality of what we're doing here -- because while we're getting tax cuts, our kids are going to get huge tax increases, because of our largesse."

Well, you could see that I'd hit him in the solar plexus, or somewhere else, and I said, "I don't think tax cuts are immoral." He was somewhat shaken or irritated by my comment. And I said, "Sir, I didn't say tax cuts were immoral. I said tax cuts for people like us, before you've solved the costs you're going to be passing on to your kids, is in my judgment immoral." But you could just tell by his steely response that tax cuts are part of the theology.

If you don't match the tax cuts with spending cuts, it's just a deferred tax increase. And it's on our kids, because you're in effect trading a tax cut now for a tax increase later, on kids that had nothing to do with this decision.